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<section style="box-sizing: border-box;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 15%;padding: 0px 5px 0px 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-align: center;margin: 10px 0%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.91" data-w="100" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2lHJvuuAhSvSTjkfWSTU0iaCiaxsQUP9duLtwWxE86jWx9Cw6Vvp8nViag/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 70%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 10px 0% 0px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="text-align: center;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(153, 166, 171);line-height: 1.4;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;line-height: 1.4;box-sizing: border-box;">欢迎点击以上蓝色字体</span><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"  /></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">关注</p></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;width: 15%;padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-align: center;margin: 10px 0%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.91" data-w="100" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2lHJvuuAhSvSTjkfWSTU0iaCiaxsQUP9duLtwWxE86jWx9Cw6Vvp8nViag/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section></section></section><section style="margin: 10px 0px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="width: 50%;border-width: 3px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(254, 193, 192);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="padding: 5px 4px;clear: both;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;clear: none;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">作者东南大学建筑学院城市规划系教授王承慧，常州市武进规划与测绘院张丹蕾在《规划师》2019年第12期撰文，<span style="text-indent: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">将居住空间变化和住房轨迹上升或下降趋势相结合的住房轨迹研究，是微观层面研究个体、住房和社区之间关系的</span><span style="text-indent: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">重要方法。文章以南京典型的保障房住区丁家庄为例，运用住房轨迹定量研究方法，了解保障房在保障房居民住房历程中</span><span style="text-indent: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">所扮演的角色，通过住房轨迹类型逻辑回归，发现关键自变量，并结合住房制度转型以及保障房精细化、可持续发展的时</span><span style="text-indent: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">代要求，以及基于研究成果总结潜在问题，进而提出相应策略。</span></p></section><section style="width: 50%;border-width: 3px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(42, 118, 162);float: right;margin-top: -6px;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="clear: both;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;border-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;padding: 0px 4px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);-webkit-transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);-moz-transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);-o-transform: translate3d(0px, 0px, 0px);box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 12px;padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">[ 关键词 ] 保障房住区；住房轨迹；住房规划；住房政策</p></section><section style="border-top: 2px dotted rgb(95, 94, 102);width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(56, 30, 5);letter-spacing: 1px;padding: 0px 4px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">[ 文章编号 ]1006-0022(2019)12-0024-08　　</p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">[ 中图分类号 ]TU984.12　</p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">[ 文献标识码 ]B </p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">[ 引文格式 ] 王承慧，张丹蕾．南京保障房住区居民住房轨迹与规划策略[J]．规划师，2019(12)：24-31．</p></section></section></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.3692308" data-w="65" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/xf5iaPkX2yDibYBbWlvljto25Cb75sicVUwyibxQqdTmP6JHn7xUbTWmmTyR1ITFOYTsmyI1BDJsF5025F6S5WgIAQ/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="gif"  /></section></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;border-radius: 1em;background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);padding: 0.3em 0.8em;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">一</strong></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">研究方法</strong></p></section></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);padding: 10px;box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 0px 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">（一）住房轨迹分类</p></section><section style="height: 2px;width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">个体或家庭某一次的住房轨迹与上<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">一次的住房轨迹进行比较能够反映两次</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房状况的差异，表现为住房轨迹上升</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">或回落的趋势。个体或家庭根据居住需</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">求、支付能力和住房市场状况，决定是</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">否结束在本社区内的住房轨迹而到另一</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">个社区发展新的轨迹，体现为居住意愿。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">根据住房轨迹趋势及居住意愿可以将住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">户分为不同的住房轨迹类型。其中，上</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">升的定居者对社区和住房的满意度与获</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">得感高。回落的困居者的住房轨迹则明</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">显下降，却由于各种原因无法搬离而“被</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">困”于此。上升的过渡者和回落的过渡</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">者将搬离社区，此次住房是其居住历程</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">中的“临时中转站”，上升的过渡者向</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">外界传播社区好的声誉，而回落的过渡</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">者则相反。其他类型住房轨迹变化趋势</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不明显，或居住意愿摇摆不定(图1)。总</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">体来看，住房轨迹类型是居民依据住房、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社区状况和个体住房需求、支付能力“用</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">脚投票”的结果，是反映社区发展状况</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">和趋势的手段之一。在整体状况较好的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社区，上升轨迹者比例更高；在有衰败</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">问题的社区，回落轨迹者比例将更高，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">严重衰败和严重贫困社区可能出现高比</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">例的困居者。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.6674033" data-w="905" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2uouRzUaZWnG7mwzibS9eScSSic8W6qwXx7sB1RbAl31zaQqiczQhgZeVw/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">由住房轨迹趋势量表和居住意愿量<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">表分别打分，获得住房轨迹趋势分类和</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居住意愿分类，两者交叉可得住房轨迹</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">类型(表1)。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.7395143" data-w="906" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g249PjT3vkNquGJdwHSs4ulsia0e8OzQ8HB9rWHmQ4N2Aia2959tg9FjYA/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">借鉴社区推力和拉力、住房阶梯和<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居住选择机会等研究，设置五方面的住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房轨迹趋势指数：住房满意度、社区满</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">意度、搬迁前后住房满意度变化、搬迁</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">前后社区满意度变化及通过何种方式获</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">得住房(区分主动申请或被动安置以及住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房是否符合预期)。每个样本的回落值和</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">上升值满分共计5分。根据累计分值将</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">样本划分为住房轨迹上升趋势、回落趋</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">势和灰色趋势。上升总值≥4分的，认</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">定为趋势上升；回落总值≥4分的，认定</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">为趋势回落；回落累加值＜4，且上升累</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">加值＜4的，认定为趋势灰色。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居住意愿分类是根据居民在两年内</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">是否有搬迁计划来进行划分的，分为三</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">类：定居者(有搬迁计划)、过渡者(无</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">搬迁计划)和摇摆者(不知道或不确定)。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">摇摆者的定居意愿不定，既有可能维持</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">定居状态，也可能在某些因素激发下离</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">开社区。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">相较于欧美，丁家庄保障房建设时<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">间尚短，住房轨迹不确定性较大，因此</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">对于摇摆者和灰色轨迹类型的研究很重</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">要，故本文对丁家庄住房轨迹灰色趋势</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">和摇摆者人群也做了交叉分类，并进行</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">了回归分析。</span></p></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">（二）住房轨迹回归分析</p></section><section style="height: 2px;width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">选取具有统计分析意义的住房轨迹<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">分类，建立若干二元逻辑回归模型。依</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">据相关理论，参考类似研究文献，假设</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">个体属性、住房属性、社区属性和社会</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">关系四方面变量可能影响居民的住房轨</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">迹。而本文试图对未来保障房精细化发</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">展提出策略建议，故在住房特征、社区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">空间实效的变量选取上更为全面。个体</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">属性包括家庭结构、户主年龄、家庭收</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">入、户口所在地、家庭职业属性和居住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">时间5个变量。住房属性包括住房负担、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房权属和是否有其他住区住房3个变</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">量。社区属性包括社区物质空间(交通便</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">利度、户外环境)、公共服务(社区医疗</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">设施、社区教育设施、社区文化体育设施、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社区商业设施、社区社会福利设施)和维</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">护与管理(基础社区服务、社区治安服务、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社区物业服务)三大类10个变量。社会</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">关系包括社区声誉、社区归属感和社区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">网络强度3个变量。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">考虑到本次样本总量数、变量数不<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">宜过多，故对变量进行筛选，减少相关</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">度低的变量对模型的干扰。通过逐步回</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">归法，在四组自变量中分别筛选出各组</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">内的关键变量。将上述自变量设置为分</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">类变量进入因变量的二元逻辑回归模型。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">结合模型计算结果的变量显著性(p值，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">Sig.)和OR值(Exp(b))，讨论各类变量</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">对住房轨迹类型的概率关系。</span></p></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">（三）案例选取与数据获取</p></section><section style="height: 2px;width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">1994年以来，南京保障房空间格<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">局经历了1995～2000年的起步阶段、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">2000～2010年的提速阶段和2010年以</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">来的大规模建设阶段。为了促成保障房</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">建设，政府必须让渡土地财政收益，在</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">市区两级政府博弈下，保障房住区布局</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">呈现出明显的历时性空间集聚 — 沿绕城</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">公路或环主城边缘低地价地带集聚态势。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">本文选取的案例——丁家庄保障房住<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区建设于2010年，由市级国资平台统</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">建，住房质量较好，项目总用地面积为</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">85hm2，总建筑面积为168万平方米，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">规划人口约6.7万。规划布局采取了小街</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区模式，重视公共设施硬件建设。目前</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">20分钟公交可达地区级中心，远期于附</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">近规划有轨道站点。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">2012年以后居民陆续入住，截至本<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">文调研时间2016年12月，已入住居民</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">9901户，居住人口达2.76万。该住区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">既是典型的主城边缘大规模保障房，又</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">代表了南京最新的保障房发展趋势，其</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房类型多元，包括双困户经济适用房、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">集体土地拆迁安置房、国有土地拆迁安</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">置房、廉租房和公共租赁住房等类型。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">除了廉租房和公共租赁房，其他住房可</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">由产权主租售，因此丁家庄居民中也有</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">整租、群租和二手房居民。住房类型丰富、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">入住人口来源多样，使得该案例更具有</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">研究价值(图2)。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.7427653" data-w="933" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2GiaScLWHeAIPogiaqFjxRgY63tYvldnQBu6LoibmFtCTzEgUVwVM1NRWQ/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">通过街道与社区机构访谈了解社区<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">现状发展总体情况、居民入住基础数据</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">和机构管理维护方式；通过实地踏勘调</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">研社区物质空间特征和维护运营情况；</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">通过居民深度访谈了解居民对社区发展</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的意见，并通过发放居民结构性问卷了</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">解居民的基本情况和与居民住房轨迹相</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">关的问题。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">基于2016年12月中旬丁家庄各基<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">层社区所提供的入住户数信息，项目组</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">抽取入住居民家庭户数的 2% 发放居民</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">调查问卷。在2016年12月下旬至2017</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">年1月初，项目组以家庭为单位在丁家</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">庄大型保障房社区多次发放问卷。其中</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">实际发放问卷203份，回收有效问卷</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">200份，使用spss软件做信度检测，显</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">示问卷Cronbach’s α系数为0.83，表</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">明本次调研获取的问卷数据可信度高。</span></p></section></section></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.3692308" data-w="65" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/xf5iaPkX2yDibYBbWlvljto25Cb75sicVUwyibxQqdTmP6JHn7xUbTWmmTyR1ITFOYTsmyI1BDJsF5025F6S5WgIAQ/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="gif"  /></section></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;border-radius: 1em;background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);padding: 0.3em 0.8em;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">二</strong></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">南京丁家庄保障房住区居民住房轨迹特征研究</strong></p></section></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);padding: 10px;box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 0px 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">（一）住房轨迹类型</p></section><section style="height: 2px;width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(1)住房轨迹类型总体特征。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">丁家庄社区居民的住房轨迹总体呈<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">灰色和上升趋势、居民定居意愿总体较</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">强，未出现明显的回落特征(表2)。在</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房轨迹类型中，灰色的定居者占比最</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">高(44%)，其余显著类型依次为上升的定</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居者 (28%)、灰色的过渡者(14%) 和灰</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">色的摇摆者 (8%)，而回落者仅占3%。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">过渡者的轨迹趋势以灰色为主，没有出</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">现回落，说明丁家庄住区对过渡者的住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房轨迹发挥着中性或积极的作用。然而</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">从长期看，住房轨迹的灰色趋势占比高</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(66%)，社区后续发展应特别预防由灰色</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">向回落的转变。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.3840985" data-w="893" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2v6542np7X2jPYP1OQZ0psick6g6rTW8g6OTq7BB6EfDqxjwib8xkNaZg/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(2)不同住房类型的住房轨迹特征。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不同住房类型的轨迹分类如图3所<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">示。国有土地拆迁安置房居民一般来自</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">南京中心城区的危旧房社区。由于住房</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">条件得到显著改善，国有土地产权置换</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房的定居者比例很高(88%)，上升定居者</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">比例也较高(38%)。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.5977301" data-w="793" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2IQSwXkPCNAuvXTS3hmYbXYhbiaCx2bubxO1hb4BKFe6BNegrvlS7v1A/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">集体土地拆迁安置房住户来自南京</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">市区周边的农村。住房上升轨迹比例高</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(45%)，定居者比例高(占88%)，体现出</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">此类住户有较稳定的居住意愿。但是该</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">类型住房轨迹丰富、差异显著，回落趋</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">势住户占比是所有住房类型中最高的。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">之所以产生较大差异，主要是由集体土</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">地征收安置家庭搬迁前后的对比差异造</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">成的。同为来自集体土地拆迁安置房的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住户，有些住在已经城市化的城市边缘</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">地区，有些住在城市化影响较弱的地区；</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">有些住户已经从事非农工作，而有些住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">户则以务农为生。不同来源的集体土地</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">拆迁安置住户对于城市生活、高层居住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">方式和弱化的社区网络适应性差异大。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">经济适用房住户大多为国有土地征<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">收安置获得补偿较少的家庭，也有南京</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">市城镇户籍的低收入住房困难家庭。经</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">济适用房中的上升轨迹者占比 26%，低</span><span style="text-indent: 2em;letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">于前两种住房类型(分别低于12%和</span><span style="text-indent: 2em;letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">19%)。定居者也达77%，但有14%的</span><span style="text-indent: 2em;letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">灰色过渡者，未来住户存在一定的流动</span><span style="text-indent: 2em;letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">性。这可能与经济适用房户型较小、选</span><span style="text-indent: 2em;letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">择余地少有关。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">廉租房住户属住房市场上选择最少<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的人群，公租房住户是介于廉租房和经</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">济适用房之间的“夹心层”群体。公租</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房和廉租房住户的定居意愿比例远小于</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">前三类住房住户。由于其为租赁住房，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房面积较小，住户有比较高的流动性。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">但公租房和廉租房的上升轨迹者占比都</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不高，公租房还出现了小比例的回落者。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">为了促进租赁住户成为社区声誉的积极</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">传播者，应重视提升公租房和廉租房住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">户的居住条件与公共服务水平。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">除上述三种初始分配入住的住房类<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">型住户之外，还有三种通过市场购租进</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">入丁家庄的住户。二手房是居民通过主</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">动购买获得的住房，其居住意愿以定居</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">为主(占92%)，上升的定居者占25%，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">说明丁家庄在住房销售市场上有一定地</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">位，丁家庄二手房价并不低于周边普通</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房价也证明了这一点，但是上升轨迹者</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">所占比例不高，仅仅和经济适用房中的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">上升轨迹者比例持平，值得警惕。整租</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房上升轨迹占27%，不过轨迹类型表</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">现多样，这可能与整租居民的来源广泛、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">人群特征多样有关，定居者比例较低(占</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">46%)，未来住户流动性高。群租住房轨</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">迹类型全部为灰色的过渡者和灰色的定</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居者，既无上升轨迹，也无回落轨迹，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">并表现出极高的过渡者比例(占67%)。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(3)不同基层社区住房轨迹特征。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">由于规模较大，丁家庄归属4个基</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">层社区居委会管理。4个基层社区住房轨</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">迹类型构成差异较大(图4)。这可能与</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不同片区建设和入住时间不同、住房类</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">型不同、人口来源不同及居民住房需求</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不同等有关。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.8214905" data-w="577" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g24Qrny5hhPD3alAfxS3wKaMubm9fUKGhWV5TY5UAVhiaUeAz6eaibj0Dg/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">为了更好地理解产生不同轨迹类型</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的原因，住房轨迹类型的逻辑回归分析</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">结果将有所助益。</span></p></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">（二）住房轨迹逻辑回归结果</p></section><section style="height: 2px;width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">丁家庄保障房社区的住房轨迹分类<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">显示，上升的定居者、灰色的定居者、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">灰色的过渡者和灰色的摇摆者4个住房</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">轨迹类型最多，模型回归更具统计意义。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">因此，分别以上升的定居者</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(上升的定</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居者=1，非上升的定居者=0)、灰色的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">定居者(灰色的定居者 =1，非灰色的定</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居者=0)、灰色的过渡者(灰色的过渡</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">者=1，非灰色的过渡者=0)和灰色的摇</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">摆者 ( 灰色的摇摆者 =1，非灰色的摇摆</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">者=0)建立4个二元逻辑回归模型。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">通过逐步回归法筛选出的自变量有<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">个体属性中的户口所在地、户主年龄和</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居住时间变量；住房属性中的住房权属、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房可负担性和其他社区住房变量；社</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区属性中的社区福利设施、社区医疗设</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">施、社区物业服务变量及社会关系中的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社区声誉评价变量。在丁家庄的研究中，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">逐步回归结果显示其余变量相关度不高</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">或较小，因此不被列入模型中。逻辑回</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">归模型结果如表3所示。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="1.4106583" data-w="638" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2PLqKMjicUtrssiayKPGOVACiauSJ5N62tA3ic4FYyAdOADhZeFXsN7yfpw/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(1)在个体属性变量方面表现为：①青<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">年极不可能成为上升的定居者，而很可</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">能成为灰色的过渡者；中年家庭也不可</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">能是上升的定居者。这说明丁家庄社区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">对青年和中年住户的吸引力不足。②保</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">持原中心城区户口的家庭更可能成为上</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">升的定居者，成为其他类型的可能性低。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">这说明既维持了原户口所在地关联的城</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">市资源(特别是子女基础教育和相关补助</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">政策)，居住条件又得到改善的居民，其</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居住心态更积极、更稳定。从OR值看，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">户口迁至丁家庄的居民成为上升的定居</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">者的可能性低，说明了该社区所关联的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">城市资源与城市中心区相比较为欠缺。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">③居住1～3年可能成为上升的定居者，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">而3～4年是一个转折，居民开始向过</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">渡者和摇摆者转移，说明社区的长期吸</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">引力不足。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(2)在住房属性变量方面表现为：①租<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">赁住房居民很可能成为灰色的过渡者和</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">摇摆者，不太可能成为定居者，他们是</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社区潜在的声誉传播者，应关注这类人</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">群的住房轨迹趋势，防止过渡者和摇摆</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">者由灰色向回落转变。从OR值看，二手</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房和国有土地拆迁安置住户成为上升定</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居者可能性最大，其他类型住房住户成</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">为上升定居者的可能性较小。②住房负</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">担一般的居民很可能成为灰色的摇摆者，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">这说明其居住意愿摇摆不定，应成为社</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区发展争取的潜在定居者。③没有其他</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社区住房的居民很可能成为上升的定居</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">者，说明丁家庄对此类居民有提升住房</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">阶梯的作用。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(3)在社区属性变量方面表现为：①如<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">果居民对社会福利设施不了解，极可能</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">成为灰色定居者；如果不满意则更有可</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">能成为灰色过渡者，而不太可能成为灰</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">色定居者。对社区社会福利设施的满意</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">度是居住意愿的重要影响因素。②如果</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居民对社区医疗卫生设施不满意，则不</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">太可能出现上升趋势。对社区医疗卫生</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">设施的满意度是影响住房轨迹趋势的重</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">要因素。③如果居民对社区物业服务评</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">价一般，则很不可能成为上升定居者，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">如果评价不满意，则很可能成为灰色的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">定居者。对社区物业服务的满意度是影</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">响住房轨迹趋势的重要因素。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(4) 在社会关系变量方面的数据显<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">示：认为保障房住区比商品住区差的住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">户比例较高(占66%)，认为两者差不多</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的占21%，认为保障房住区好的占7%，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不知道的占6%。如果居民对社区声誉的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">评价比商品住区“差”或“差不多”，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">都很可能为灰色的定居者，不太可能成</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">为灰色过渡者。社区声誉并未太影响居</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住意愿，但对轨迹趋势有一定影响。这</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">说明尽管觉得自己社区逊色于普通商品</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住区的居民超过一半，但是这种逊色的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">感觉并没有到达标签化的地步。</span></p></section></section></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.3692308" data-w="65" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/xf5iaPkX2yDibYBbWlvljto25Cb75sicVUwyibxQqdTmP6JHn7xUbTWmmTyR1ITFOYTsmyI1BDJsF5025F6S5WgIAQ/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="gif"  /></section></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;border-radius: 1em;background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);padding: 0.3em 0.8em;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 18px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">三</strong></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">问题讨论与规划策略</strong></p></section></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);padding: 10px;box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 0px 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">（一）存在问题</p></section><section style="height: 2px;width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">将本次丁家庄大型保障房的住房轨<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">迹研究与基于欧盟RESTATE项目调研</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">2004年的西欧、东欧和南欧若干大型社</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">会住房住区的数据相比较，发现丁家庄</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">保障房住区上升的定居者比例 (28%) 普</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">遍高于欧洲各调研住区(2%～19.1%)，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">回落者比例也很小，说明该住区让 28%</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的住户获得更好的住房和稳定积极的心</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">态，较欧洲社会住房社区具有更稳健的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">吸引力和住房提升作用。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不过，丁家庄保障房住区居民入住<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">尚不满5年，因此对于灰色轨迹居民的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">居住需求应充分重视，预防由灰色向回</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">落下跌、由定居向困居转变。本次丁家</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">庄保障房住区轨迹研究揭示出一些潜在</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">问题，需要在日后的住房维护管理和社</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区发展中予以及时应对，对于保障房住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区的发展计划和空间决策等也有借鉴意</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">义。问题主要有：①丁家庄保障房住区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">对于青年家庭吸引力很不足，对于中年</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">家庭吸引力欠缺；②丁家庄保障房住区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">关联的城市资源与中心城区差距仍较大；</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">③丁家庄保障房住区的长期吸引力不足；</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">④来自集体土地拆迁安置住户的轨迹差</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">异大，某些住户需要针对性的扶持以尽</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">快适应城市生活；⑤租赁住房住户上升</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">轨迹比例低，未来流动性高，且关注其</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">对于丁家庄保障房住区声誉的传播，而</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">定居意愿低与政府未来倡导的长租趋势</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不符；⑥丁家庄保障房住区在住房市场</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">有一定地位，但是通过市场进入的住户</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房轨迹上升比例不高；⑦丁家庄保障</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房住区对于仅以此住房为唯一住房的住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">户的提升作用大，但是对于住房负担不</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">重的住户吸引力有待提升；⑧相较于交</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">通、文化体育、教育和治安等公共服务，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">福利保障、医疗卫生和物业服务对于住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房轨迹的影响更显著，特别是后两者明</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">显影响轨迹趋势；⑨社区声誉并未对住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">户产生较大影响，但对轨迹趋势有一定</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">影响，需要进一步予以呵护，提升社区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">声誉。</span></p></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: left;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;letter-spacing: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">（二）规划策略</p></section><section style="height: 2px;width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">保障房作为可支付性高的住房存量，<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">对于提高城市包容性、缓和阶层固化、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">营建和谐积极的城市社会经济环境具有</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">重要作用。不管是长期定居还是暂时过</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">渡，无论对于何种社会属性的人群，都</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">应努力推动保障房在城市居民的住房轨</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">迹中起到积极作用，尽量避免出现回落</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">轨迹。未来保障房政策将进一步向多渠</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">道多元化转变，服务民生也服务发展，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">惠及更多人群。除了要全面实现城市中</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">低收入住房困难家庭和被征收家庭住房</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">应保尽保、城市新就(创)业人员和外来</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">务工人员住房得到有效支持外，一些城</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">市还将人才住房纳入住房建设计划。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">针对上述问题和新形势，政府、市场、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">社会和社区的发展理念以及创新协作是</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">关键。因此，本文提出如下应对策略。</span></p></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 40px;height: 5px;line-height: 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 5px;height: 5px;border-radius: 50%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 30px;border-top: 1px dashed rgb(58, 140, 226);border-right-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-bottom-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-left-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="padding-left: 8px;padding-right: 8px;color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">1.<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">突出协同理念的保障房空间</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">发展策略</span></p></section><section style="width: 40px;text-align: right;margin-left: auto;height: 5px;line-height: 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 30px;border-top: 1px dashed rgb(58, 140, 226);border-right-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-bottom-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-left-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 5px;height: 5px;border-radius: 50%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">保障房空间选址应关联一定程度的<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区位资源，如适宜的就业机会、公共交</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">通和公共设施等。然而本文研究显示，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">尽管丁家庄保障房住区具有适宜的区位</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">资源，并将在未来得到进一步提升，但</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">是中心城区迁来的居民仍不愿意放弃原</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">有户口，说明原有户口关联的基础教育、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">低收入生活补助标准等优势对这些居民</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">非常重要。保障房空间决策应进一步突</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">出协同发展理念，地方政府高度关注基</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">础教育、民政等相关政策的跟进情况，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">在当前强调租赁房的背景下还应探索适</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">宜的租购同权政策。对于一些低收入户</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">和符合条件的老年人可以获取的生活补</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">助，也不应由于户籍变迁地的差异而降</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">低补贴标准，需要探索更合理的保障房</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">迁移居民的公共财政补助政策。此外，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">宜采取投资补贴、税费减免等策略吸引</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">投资者进入保障房周边地区投资和经营，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">使保障房住区及周边成为具有充沛社会</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">经济活力的城市地区。</span></p></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 40px;height: 5px;line-height: 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 5px;height: 5px;border-radius: 50%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 30px;border-top: 1px dashed rgb(58, 140, 226);border-right-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-bottom-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-left-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="padding-left: 8px;padding-right: 8px;color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">2.<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">适应新形势的保障房规划设计</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">策略</span></p></section><section style="width: 40px;text-align: right;margin-left: auto;height: 5px;line-height: 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 30px;border-top: 1px dashed rgb(58, 140, 226);border-right-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-bottom-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-left-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 5px;height: 5px;border-radius: 50%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(1)提升对青年的吸引力。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">政府大力推进的公共租赁房，有<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">较多的青年人申请。在现实中，也有较</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">多青年通过私人租赁方式进入保障房住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区。本次调研的青年户主家庭占总数的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">37%，仅次于老年户主家庭数量。尽管</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">大多数青年仅以该住区作为过渡住房，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">但是他们的积极评价将会对社区声誉产</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">生积极影响，而消极评价则会相反，故</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">应充分考虑青年的居住和发展需求。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">青年处于人生发展和资金累积的起</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">步阶段，可以接受紧凑的居住面积，但</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">更关注生活便利性和公共空间。因此，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">除了进一步突出小而精的住房设计外，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">保障房规划设计及其设施配置需要充分</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">考虑青年的生活模式和需求，如对高速</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">网络、快递设施等的需求，此外便捷餐饮、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">健身锻炼、学习交流和自助设施等应被</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">充分考虑。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(2)精准优化公共服务。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">本次调研发现，相对于其他公共服<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">务设施，养老福利设施、医疗卫生设施</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">更易影响丁家庄社区居民的居住意愿和</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">轨迹趋势。这大概和老年户主家庭比例</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">高(47%)、进入严重老龄化阶段(60岁以</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">上老年人占25%)有关。由于老年人在社</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区内的时间更长，其对于养老福利保障、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">医疗卫生设施和住区空间环境更为敏感。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">除了确保集中型的养老福利保障设施的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">功能外，还需要重点加强基层社区的居</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">家养老和社区养老设施的服务供应；医</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">疗卫生服务设施除了确保硬件建设之外，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">还要加强基层医疗服务人员的配置和提</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">升基础医疗服务水平。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(3)构建全龄友好社区。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">中年户主更关心住房和住区环境品<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">质，如果是有子女的家庭则还关注子女</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">教育和少年儿童的活动场地等。人才型</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房更要考虑如何吸引高层次人才长期</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">稳定居住，家庭是否友好就显得十分重</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">要。在生育新政下，有子女家庭对于住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房的生命周期功能适应性将会有更高要</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">求。由于丁家庄保障房住区的开发强度</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">高，住宅用地的地块容积率达到3.6～</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">4.2，户外休闲、体育活动场地的人均指</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">标很紧张，故应探索紧凑集约建设条件</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">下的立体复合的活动空间利用方式，提</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">高住区整体环境品质和使用功效，并努</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">力成为少年儿童友好型社区。对于老龄</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">化程度高的保障房住区，还要特别注重</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">无障碍等宜老空间环境建设。</span></p></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 40px;height: 5px;line-height: 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 5px;height: 5px;border-radius: 50%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 30px;border-top: 1px dashed rgb(58, 140, 226);border-right-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-bottom-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-left-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="padding-left: 8px;padding-right: 8px;color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">3.<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">构建多维度的保障房社区发展</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">策略</span></p></section><section style="width: 40px;text-align: right;margin-left: auto;height: 5px;line-height: 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;width: 30px;border-top: 1px dashed rgb(58, 140, 226);border-right-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-bottom-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);border-left-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 5px;height: 5px;border-radius: 50%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(58, 140, 226);display: inline-block;vertical-align: middle;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(1)长期有效的物业管理。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">本次研究显示物业管理明显影响居<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住轨迹。丁家庄保障房住区大部分居民</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">开始进入保障房时，由于居住条件的改</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">善，住房轨迹呈现积极趋势。但入住一</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">段时间后，出现某些居民不愿意缴纳物</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">业费、不遵守物业管理规定随意占用空</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">间等问题，楼栋公共空间和住区环境品</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">质难以维系，消极态度就逐渐滋生。保</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">障房住区的维护管理，无论怎么强调都</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">不为过。首先，制定社区公约来约束居</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">民行为，对于公约明令禁止的行为，如</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">破坏、吸毒、犯罪、不缴物业费和恶意</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">侵占等制定惩罚措施，严重者可取消其</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">入住资格；其次，国资管理机构、居委</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">会和业主委员会要加强对物业管理的监</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">督，积极引进智慧社区技术，在公共平</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">台讨论民情民意，提升物业管理的效率。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(2)稳定健康的租赁体系。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房租赁尤其是长期租赁将成为中<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">国住房供应体系的重要补充。丁家庄保</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">障房住区调研数据显示公共租赁住房(含</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">廉租房)占租赁住房总数的13%，私人</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">租赁住房占23%，为促进城市住房市场</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">多元供给起到了积极作用。然而，租赁</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">住房上升轨迹比例并不高、定居比例低，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">需要引起充分重视。对于公共租赁住房，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">国资管理平台应向专业化、机构化的住</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房租赁公司发展，加强住房租赁金融支</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">持，探索国资机构与市场机构、合法民</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">间非营利组织之间的合作模式，确保公</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">共租赁住房的维护管理和综合品质。对</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">于私人租赁住房，形成市场规则明晰、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">政府监管有力、权益保障充分的住房租</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">赁制度体系，保证稳定的租约和较高的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">服务品质，从而使保障房住区在建构合</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">适的住房梯级体系中，成为健康积极的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">一环。</span></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">(3)注重赋能的社区治理。</p><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">培育社区居民参与各类社区事务，<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">以志愿者或各类社区组织成员的身份贡</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">献力量，可以降低社区维护管理成本。</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">而要达到这种居民共建共治共享的状态，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">需要各级行政管理主体、基层社区居民</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">委员会对保障房社区进行各种赋能行动，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">也可以引介社会组织进入社区开展适宜</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的培育计划。例如，对于青年人较多的</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">保障房社区，通过青年人喜爱的方式激</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">发其参与社区治理，转变他们对于社区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的冷漠和疏离态度，使社区得以获取他</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">们的建议而不断提升社区品质；针对集</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">体拆迁安置户里的城市生活适应困难家</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">庭及其他低收入者，要提供针对性的就</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">业培训、咨询服务和就业机会推介，并</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">促进其通过参与社区活动和事务等方式</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">增强社会融合；包容租赁住户进入社区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">团体和各类社区自治活动，提升其对社</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">区的认同度，增强社区凝聚力，为社区</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">发展建言献策。</span></p></section></section></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.3692308" data-w="65" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/xf5iaPkX2yDibYBbWlvljto25Cb75sicVUwyibxQqdTmP6JHn7xUbTWmmTyR1ITFOYTsmyI1BDJsF5025F6S5WgIAQ/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="gif"  /></section></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin-bottom: -10px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: bottom;width: 6px;margin-left: 5px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 2px;margin: auto;height: 16px;background-color: rgb(17, 19, 22);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 6px;height: 6px;border-radius: 50%;background-color: rgb(17, 19, 22);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: bottom;width: 20%;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: bottom;width: 6px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 2px;margin: auto;height: 16px;background-color: rgb(17, 19, 22);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 6px;height: 6px;border-radius: 50%;background-color: rgb(17, 19, 22);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="transform: rotate(0deg);-webkit-transform: rotate(0deg);-moz-transform: rotate(0deg);-o-transform: rotate(0deg);margin-bottom: -5px;width: 5px;height: 5px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="border-left: 5px solid rgb(255, 222, 3);border-bottom: 5px solid rgb(255, 222, 3);border-top-color: rgb(255, 222, 3);border-right-color: rgb(255, 222, 3);box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(214, 240, 252);padding: 10px 10px 2px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">四</strong></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">结语</strong></p></section></section><section style="margin-left: auto;margin-top: -5px;width: 5px;height: 5px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;border-width: 1px;border-style: solid;border-color: rgb(226, 226, 226);padding: 10px;box-shadow: rgb(226, 226, 226) 0px 16px 1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="text-indent: 2em;white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">本次研究成果是基于南京丁家庄保<span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">障房住区调研分析得到的，尽管丁家庄</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">具有大型保障房的典型性，但是研究结</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">论仍有局限。不过，本文显示针对保障</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">房住区的住房轨迹研究切实可行，运用</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">该方法确实能够分析出保障房住区存在</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">的问题。本文所采用的研究思路和技术</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">路线是可以应用于其他保障房住区的，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">对于把握保障房住区发展动态、及时总</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">结成绩和问题，进而提出应对策略、</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">促进保障房住区健康长效发展具有重要</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">意义。</span></p></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"  /></p></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.3692308" data-w="65" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/xf5iaPkX2yDibYBbWlvljto25Cb75sicVUwyibxQqdTmP6JHn7xUbTWmmTyR1ITFOYTsmyI1BDJsF5025F6S5WgIAQ/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="gif"  /></section></section><section style="text-align: center;margin: 10px 0%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 95%;vertical-align: top;border-style: solid;border-width: 2px;border-radius: 0px;border-color: rgb(181, 180, 180);box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: -5px 0% 5px;transform: translate3d(-5px, 0px, 0px);-webkit-transform: translate3d(-5px, 0px, 0px);-moz-transform: translate3d(-5px, 0px, 0px);-o-transform: translate3d(-5px, 0px, 0px);box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;vertical-align: top;background-color: rgb(252, 221, 93);padding: 5px;border-width: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;vertical-align: top;border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;border-radius: 0px;border-color: rgb(255, 202, 0);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);padding: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 10px 0% 0px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="color: rgb(100, 100, 100);font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">来源：2019年12期《规划师》杂志</strong><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"  /></p></section></section><section style="margin: 0px 0% 8px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="background-color: rgb(181, 180, 180);height: 2px;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;vertical-align: top;padding: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: 10px 0% 0px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(100, 100, 100);line-height: 1.8;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">新媒体编辑：刘晓莹</p></section></section><section style="margin: 10px 0%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="font-size: 14px;line-height: 1.8;color: rgb(100, 100, 100);box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">审读：刘芳</p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"  /></p></section><section style="margin: 0.5em 0px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="padding: 5px;background-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;width: 100%;border-color: white;padding: 10px;border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 0px 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-align: center;color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">文章全文详见《规划师》2019年12期</strong></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">《南京保障房住区居民住房轨迹与规划策略</strong><strong style="letter-spacing: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0px;line-height: 1.45;box-sizing: border-box;">》</span></strong></p></section></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"  /></p></section><section style="margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="width: 100%;font-size: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin-left: 24px;border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="float: left;margin-top: -1px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 254) !important;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 0px;height: 8px;border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);margin-left: 23px;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 16px;margin-left: 8px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 16px;height: 8px;border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;margin-top: -8px;border-top: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;border-top: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);margin-top: -1px;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="float: right;margin-top: -1px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 254) !important;box-sizing: border-box;"> <section style="width: 0px;height: 8px;border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);margin-right: 8px;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 16px;margin-top: -1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 16px;height: 8px;border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;margin-top: -8px;margin-left: 8px;border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-top: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;margin-top: -1px;margin-left: 16px;border-top: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-left-color: rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="clear: both;box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 100%;margin: -12px 0px;padding: 0px 20px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-align: center;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="color: rgb(227, 43, 107);box-sizing: border-box;">声明</span></strong></p><p style="text-align: left;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="color: rgb(132, 81, 21);box-sizing: border-box;">《规划师》杂志社微信公众订阅号（ID：）为非盈利新媒体平台，所有转发的非原创图文来源于互联网及新媒体渠道，如果所转发图文作者或其他版权所有人认为违反了您的权益，请告知我们，我们会在24小时内删除。</span></p></section></section><section style="width: 100%;margin-top: 1em;font-size: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="float: left;margin-top: -1px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 254) !important;box-sizing: border-box;"> <section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);margin-top: -1px;border-top-color: rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 16px;margin-left: 8px;margin-top: -1px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-top: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 16px;height: 8px;margin-top: -8px;border-top: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section style="width: 0px;height: 8px;border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);margin-left: 23px;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section> <section style="float: right;margin-top: -2px;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 254) !important;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;margin-bottom: 1px;margin-left: 16px;border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-right: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="width: 16px;margin-top: -2px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 8px;height: 16px;margin-left: 8px;border-top: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-left: 1px solid rgb(156, 94, 21);border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(156, 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border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-wrap: break-word !important;">【规划师论坛1】城乡共构视角下的乡村振兴多元路径探索<br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;word-wrap: break-word !important;"  /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;min-height: 1em;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);word-wrap: break-word !important;">【规划师论坛2】乡村土地利用的多元主体“利益制衡”机制及实践<br style="max-width: 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10px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-size: 13px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;width: 80%;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.605042" data-w="357" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2RIkF0Aibp0Q6l0KVUyJAekqARGbFMrHib8I9IJffdnjyNSB1LuQx6aTA/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" width="100%" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="text-align: center;font-size: 12px;color: rgb(255, 129, 36);box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">识别图中二维码进入微店购买《规划师》杂志</p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="1" data-w="300" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g2zsxvRffLbcdzBGCdONoibicZ2F2LVKWzwkuMfQJuyvOFr6S0DUiaEb2Hg/640?wx_fmt=png" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="png"  /></section></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="1.3037037" data-w="1080" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g22wy6gMmsjv3QLwibKTMgIekrhPByynQ2LOQKib7BGzFA2NDNhzKfsKBw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" data-type="jpeg"  /></section></section><section style="margin: 8px 0% 0px;text-align: left;transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);-webkit-transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);-moz-transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);-o-transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="display: inline-block;vertical-align: top;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="background-color: rgb(197, 36, 36);color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-size: 14px;padding-left: 5px;padding-right: 5px;margin-bottom: 4px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">《规划师》杂志社                                    </p></section><section style="border-top: 2px dotted rgb(95, 94, 102);width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);-webkit-transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);-moz-transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);-o-transform: translate3d(40px, 0px, 0px);box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="font-size: 12px;color: rgb(117, 114, 114);letter-spacing: 0px;line-height: 1.8;padding: 2px 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">地址：广西南宁市青秀区月湾路1号南国弈园6楼</p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">邮编：530029</p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">邮箱：planner@21cn.net</p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">网址：www.planners.com.cn</p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">电话：0771-2438012</p><p style="white-space: normal;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">传真：0771-2436269</p></section></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="gulangu"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;width: 80%;box-sizing: border-box;"><img class="raw-image" data-ratio="0.8518519" data-w="837" src="http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/j8bTq15u0mjDus7CwpaSaWfE9fo0P1g262qoLP8LdP4xGloeWnicZNLuibMiaF4Ads6mpJk6GjPwRyJWWVS14ibcYQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="vertical-align: middle;max-width: 100%;width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" width="100%" data-type="jpeg"  /></section></section></section><section style="height: 16px;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="height: 100%;width: 24px;float: left;border-bottom: 6px solid rgb(21, 103, 167);border-left: 6px solid rgb(21, 103, 167);border-top-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);border-right-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="height: 100%;width: 24px;float: right;border-bottom: 6px solid rgb(21, 103, 167);border-right: 6px solid rgb(21, 103, 167);border-top-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);border-left-color: rgb(21, 103, 167);box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section>
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