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                        <section style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: white;"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 1.8em 0px 0.5em;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="border-top-width: 2px; border-top-style: solid; border-top-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-bottom-width: 2px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="margin: -16px 0px 8px 55%; width: 30px; height: 30px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section style=" transform: rotate(45deg); -webkit-transform: rotate(45deg); -moz-transform: rotate(45deg); -o-transform: rotate(45deg); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 30px; height: 30px; border-left-width: 2px; border-left-style: solid; border-left-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-top-width: 2px; border-top-style: solid; border-top-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255) !important;"><section style="width: 22px; height: 22px; margin: 2px; border: 2px solid rgb(241, 97, 7); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 16px; height: 16px; margin: 1px auto auto; border: 1px solid rgb(241, 97, 7); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 0px; margin: 1px auto auto; border-left-width: 12px; border-left-style: solid; border-left-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-bottom-width: 12px !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-color: transparent !important; box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: center; margin: -0.5em 0px 0.5em; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style=" text-align: left;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="text-align: center; color: rgb(249, 110, 87); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">点击上方</strong><span style="font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">“规划师杂志”</strong></span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">可订阅哦！</strong></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="height: 10px; box-sizing: border-box; background: url(http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/NnNpCrZE0Tt5DgicTticMd4jysb91AcAMbFTcreb88iacPQbKldwStg1kElsNLia2EAKAVMhhGm4xHcXsDyD1mAxeA/0?wx_fmt=png) repeat-x rgb(241, 97, 7);"></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="height: 16px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="height: 100%; width: 24px; float: left; border-top-width: 6px; border-top-style: solid; border-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-left-width: 6px; border-left-style: solid; box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="height: 100%; width: 24px; float: right; border-top-width: 6px; border-top-style: solid; border-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-right-width: 6px; border-right-style: solid; box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="display: inline-block; color: transparent; clear: both; box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section><section class="" style="border: 1px solid rgb(241, 97, 7); border-radius: 6px; word-wrap: break-word; box-sizing: border-box; margin: -13px 3px; padding: 12px;"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; opacity: 0.79;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; width: 100%; border: 2px dashed rgb(192, 200, 209); padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgba(243, 121, 92, 0.933333);"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;">国内现有的同城化研究和实践多以战略研究为主，对同城化实现的基础条件判断研究还较少。在研究方法上，同城化分析基本停留在定性分析的层面，基于定量分析的研究还鲜有涉及。在大数据逐渐应用于城市规划研究的背景下，<span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">作者</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">浙江省城乡规划设计研究院道路交通与工程规划所</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">李星月，</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">浙江省城乡规划设计研究院规划二所</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">陈濛</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">在《规划师》2016年第2期撰文，</span><span style="text-indent: 2em; line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">文章探索一种基于移动通信数据的前沿分析方法，用以研判同城化实现的基础条件。在城市规划的语境下，借助对客观数据的量化分析，研究温岭市同城化地区内部的职住通勤关系、公共服务中心的吸引力强度等重要问题，从而判断其同城化的基础条件及未来趋势，为后续的规划建设工作奠定基础。</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section class="" style="height: 16px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="height: 100%; width: 24px; float: left; border-bottom-width: 6px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-left-width: 6px; border-left-style: solid; box-sizing: border-box;"></section><section style="height: 100%; width: 24px; float: right; border-bottom-width: 6px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-right-width: 6px; border-right-style: solid; box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="box-sizing: border-box; width: 100%; text-align: start; height: auto !important; vertical-align: middle;" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/xmfuPhiciaRrJpUu13zDKkSnkrf0xKBbbhSpqqic1gVqs5crianEJYfibkQN7ySIBcWlbjXPjyqDav2jPw6nM2VrR6Q/0?wx_fmt=png" class="" data-ratio="0.0737410071942446" data-w=""  /> <section class="" style="padding: 5px 10px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="text-align: center; color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-align: left; text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;">一般而言，同城化是指地域相邻、经济和社会发展要素紧密联系的城市之间为打破传统的行政分割与保护主义的限制，以达到资源共享、统筹协作和提高区域经济整体竞争力的一种新型城市发展战略。实现同城化的城市间的空间距离较近，以方便快捷的交通方式进行联系，运输成本较低；城市间存在紧密的经济社会联系，产业结构具有明显的互补性是同城化的内在基础。</section></section></section></section></section><img id="ledtxt.com" style="box-sizing: border-box; width: 100%; text-align: start; height: auto !important; vertical-align: middle;" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/xmfuPhiciaRrJpUu13zDKkSnkrf0xKBbbh74EuR0lJeylVSlSLqJSia3csQ0mVD8PRiaRY6OpFZtyF7p3dsvXvL8sA/0?wx_fmt=png" class="" data-ratio="0.07733812949640288" data-w=""  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.55em 0px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="text-align: center; display: block; padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(241, 97, 7);"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="font-size: 18px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">同城化的量化分析和判断</strong></section></section></section></section></section><section class="" style="margin: auto; width: 0px; border-top-width: 0.6em; border-top-style: solid; border-top-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-left-width: 0.5em !important; border-left-style: solid !important; border-left-color: transparent !important; border-right-width: 0.5em !important; border-right-style: solid !important; border-right-color: transparent !important; box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; width: 100%; border: 1px solid rgb(241, 97, 7); padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(26, 145, 215); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;">本文采用移动通信数据对同城化量化分析体系的两大指标进行分析，结合定性分析结果对温岭市西部城镇密集区的同城化水平进行判定。</section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 1;  "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; border-bottom-width: 2px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); padding: 0px 2px 3px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="display: inline-block; margin: 0px; padding: 0.3em 0.4em; min-width: 1.8em; min-height: 1.6em; line-height: 1; text-align: center; border-radius: 80% 100% 90% 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 240); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(241, 97, 7);"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;">1</section></section><span style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 0.4em; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(241, 97, 7); line-height: 1.4; font-size: 16px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box;" class=""><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">同城化水平分析</strong></section></span> </section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; width: 100%; border: 2px dashed rgb(192, 200, 209); padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(239, 239, 239);"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">①同城化水平定性分析。</strong><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">在功能上，温岭市区的公共设施直</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">接辐射泽国镇、大溪镇、新河镇及整个</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">温岭市域，强服务性的特点催生了“灯</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">下黑”效应，镇级公共服务中心的商业</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">功能难以形成；在布局上，温岭市区与</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">3 个镇的建成区在空间上是分离的，关</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">联性不强；在规模等级上，温岭市区处</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">于绝对优势，3 个镇在规划上可以作为</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">市区从属组团考虑，而3 个镇之间基本</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">上是对等或弱从属的关系。</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">通过以上定性分析可知，温岭市西</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">部城镇密集区内的市区与3 个镇勉强具</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">备同城化的条件。</span></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/R507ZyKkEnqhlvMgu11K5pKMCtKJrwyfia8IZ1tvBteegEHnShxokh7bYS2qiaWmHSficc8Qg3SBmawv7qXqHZu8w/0?wx_fmt=gif" data-ratio="0.03189493433395872" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">②同城化水平量化分析</span></strong><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">。</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">在定性分析的基础上，本文依次对</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">温岭市区与3 个镇的通勤关系进行量化</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">分析。按照上述职住判定的方法，进行</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">分片区研究，从而确定各片区内居民的</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">居住和就业分布情况( 表2)，同时厘清</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">各个区域之间的通勤关系( 表3)。</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">通过以上量化分析可知，温岭市西</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">部城镇密集区内的四大片区之间存在一</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">定比例的交通联系，根据手机信令数据</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">获取到的手机用户的出行信息，可以推</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">算出职住通勤关系，判断手机用户的出</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">行起终点，进而得到温岭市域各个层次</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">的通勤OD，并将其分配到空间蛛网模</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">型上( 图3)。</span></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" text-align: center; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/j8bTq15u0miaicSibz6ntmE06jLQ8g2pd2eoZcnt0wjYSyEcHmkGsQTdsRmr8cc1IzrGhYxEttibHDFFrnNgayDdfg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.4540337711069418" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" text-align: center; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/j8bTq15u0miaicSibz6ntmE06jLQ8g2pd2ezFl1IeeQSdXdB2Zxll6hYD4jYoOLNZL6W7CBL04NlmyBx8YtmGFspg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.28330206378986866" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" text-align: center; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/j8bTq15u0miaicSibz6ntmE06jLQ8g2pd2ez7kLiadvXdYJvo0x9bZ92YKVelcsyiaDt0P8e7JrJXRHCDu7gNiaB8Edg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.3789868667917448" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/R507ZyKkEnqhlvMgu11K5pKMCtKJrwyfia8IZ1tvBteegEHnShxokh7bYS2qiaWmHSficc8Qg3SBmawv7qXqHZu8w/0?wx_fmt=gif" data-ratio="0.03189493433395872" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;"></span></section><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">③小结：温岭市区与周边小镇已经<span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">具备同城化条件。</span></strong><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">通过对温岭市域空间移动通信数据</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">的定量研究，可以得出大溪镇、泽国镇、</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">新河镇与温岭市区之间的出行比例分别</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">为7.9%、9.3% 和8.8%，假定非农劳</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">动力占总劳动力的比例为60%，并假</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">设职住通勤均由非农劳动力产生，经过</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">换算后，可初步判定大溪镇有13.17%</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">非农劳动力在镇区与市区间产生职住通</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">勤行为，而泽国镇有15.5%，新河镇有14.67%。参考国际上界定都市区地域标准—“周边县至少15％以上的劳动力在中心城市就业”，这三个镇与温岭市区已经处于同城化的临界点。</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 1;  "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; border-bottom-width: 2px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); padding: 0px 2px 3px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="display: inline-block; margin: 0px; padding: 0.3em 0.4em; min-width: 1.8em; min-height: 1.6em; line-height: 1; text-align: center; border-radius: 80% 100% 90% 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 240); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(241, 97, 7);"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;">2</section></section><span style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 0.4em; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(241, 97, 7); line-height: 1.4; font-size: 16px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box;" class=""><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">市区及其周边地区同城化分析</strong></section></span> </section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; width: 100%; border: 2px dashed rgb(192, 200, 209); padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(239, 239, 239);"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">①市区及其周边地区同城化水平量化分析</strong>。<span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">通过职住通勤分析可以发现，泽国镇有52.7%的对外通勤发生在横峰街道、城北街道之间，而大溪镇的这一比例为32%。进一步的，除去横峰街道和城北街道，泽国镇与温岭市区的通勤率仅为4.9%，而大溪镇的这一比例仅为2.5%，镇区与城区的同城关系大打折扣。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">以横峰街道为中心的鞋业块状经济区包括大溪镇的牧屿街道、潘郎街道和泽国镇的联树街道、城北区域。这些地区在空间上相对独立，且跨越行政区。2014年，该鞋业块状经济区仅城镇人口就达到了12.8万。由于产业结构趋同，经济区内的各片区在空间上的联系十分紧密，因此选择该区域进行同城化分析是判断温岭市区及其周边地区同城化水平的重点。</span></section><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">5个小区域(横峰、牧屿、潘郎、联树和城北)在空间上相对独立，脱离主城区或主镇区，但彼此间的经济联系、通勤关系十分密切。通过职住通勤分析可知，潘郎、牧屿、联树的对外通勤率接近50%，横峰、城北则分别为33%、23%。</span></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/R507ZyKkEnqhlvMgu11K5pKMCtKJrwyfia8IZ1tvBteegEHnShxokh7bYS2qiaWmHSficc8Qg3SBmawv7qXqHZu8w/0?wx_fmt=gif" data-ratio="0.03189493433395872" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">②结论：横峰街道成为同城化的纽带。</span></strong><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">综合温岭市区及其周边3个镇、以横峰为中心的5个小区域的同城化分析结果，可以认为，横峰街道跨行政界线，与周边小镇(区域)形成了紧密的经济、通勤关系，在地域上形成了相对独立的空间，成为温岭市及周边地区实现同城化的纽带，也因此成为后续规划重点分析的空间对象(图4)。</span></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" text-align: center; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/j8bTq15u0miaicSibz6ntmE06jLQ8g2pd2e9kIwmBYOq0wQ5mia0CJa4fEdccYOmVox9bbdMHZ2WKHBLDEpzZ9FdCQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.3902439024390244" data-w="533"  /></section></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 1;  "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; border-bottom-width: 2px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); padding: 0px 2px 3px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="display: inline-block; margin: 0px; padding: 0.3em 0.4em; min-width: 1.8em; min-height: 1.6em; line-height: 1; text-align: center; border-radius: 80% 100% 90% 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 240); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(241, 97, 7);"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;">3</section></section><span style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 0.4em; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(241, 97, 7); line-height: 1.4; font-size: 16px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box;" class=""><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">市区公共服务中心吸引力强度分析</strong></section></span> </section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; width: 100%; border: 2px dashed rgb(192, 200, 209); padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(239, 239, 239);"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">①吸引力强度量化分析。</strong></section><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">通过对城西、城东和太平三大商圈进行分析可知，泽国、大溪和新河3个镇的居民前往温岭市区公共服务中心的比例分别为2.44%、1.75%和2.80%，占该时段前往温岭市区出行总量的比例均超过20%(表4)。</span></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" text-align: center; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/j8bTq15u0miaicSibz6ntmE06jLQ8g2pd2ezBUnGWzLnIDiaibceK0kianVziaxF3ANktz8ibia5ficSYbUI7adazaaRiaDLQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.2589118198874296" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">居民出行可分为弹性出行(如购物、文娱)和刚性出行(如上班、上学和回家)两类，一般而言，城市越大，经济发展水平越高，弹性出行的比例就越高。通过对浙江省其他类似城市的居民出行目的构成比例看，弹性出行的比例一般在8%～13%之间(表5)。</span></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" text-align: center; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/j8bTq15u0miaicSibz6ntmE06jLQ8g2pd2eMRnPJiaANib1P374uNOSicCeic4UZSl1fPoN3S20WkUmKMZxltpIkgSvwg/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.3696060037523452" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">在弹性出行比例的平均水平为10%的情况下，温岭市区公共服务中心对周边3个镇的居民的弹性出行吸引力较强。进一步的，根据居民前往市区公共服务中心占前往市区的比重高于20%的情况，可以认为温岭市区公共服务中心的</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">吸引力较强，为同城化的实现提供了条</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">件( 图5)。</span></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" text-align: center; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/j8bTq15u0miaicSibz6ntmE06jLQ8g2pd2eadyCJdQmAiaUseMdIxVobhibkza4CibdDeYVMzrJpuwWfl3ZGMKRAHkJQ/0?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-ratio="0.7039274924471299" data-w="331"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/R507ZyKkEnqhlvMgu11K5pKMCtKJrwyfia8IZ1tvBteegEHnShxokh7bYS2qiaWmHSficc8Qg3SBmawv7qXqHZu8w/0?wx_fmt=gif" data-ratio="0.03189493433395872" data-w="533"  /></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;"></span></section><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">②小结：市区较强的公共设施服务<span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">能力为同城化提供了条件。</span></strong></section><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">从出行目的看，3 个镇有将近3%</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">的居民跨区域前往温岭市区公共服务中</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">心，且均占前往市区出行总量的20% 以</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">上。由于城西、城东和太平三大商圈所</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">占市区总面积的比例非常小，且跨区域</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">距离为15 ～ 18　km。通过移动通信数据</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">分析可知，3 个镇的居民在周日前往温</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">岭市区公共服务中心的比例占前往市区</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">出行的比例较高。由此判断，温岭市区</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">公共服务中心的服务能力较强，能够服</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">务于整个西部城镇密集区，为同城化的</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; text-indent: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;">实现提供了现实基础和条件。</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 1;  "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; border-bottom-width: 2px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); padding: 0px 2px 3px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="display: inline-block; margin: 0px; padding: 0.3em 0.4em; min-width: 1.8em; min-height: 1.6em; line-height: 1; text-align: center; border-radius: 80% 100% 90% 20%; color: rgb(255, 255, 240); word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(241, 97, 7);"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;">4</section></section><span style="display: inline-block; margin-left: 0.4em; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(241, 97, 7); line-height: 1.4; font-size: 16px; word-wrap: break-word !important; box-sizing: border-box;" class=""><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">同城化判定结论：位于同城化的<span style="line-height: 1.4; box-sizing: border-box;">临界点</span></strong></section></span> </section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="display: inline-block; width: 100%; border: 2px dashed rgb(192, 200, 209); padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(239, 239, 239);"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;">本文以同城化量化分析方法推算了<span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">温岭市区及周边镇区的联系强度以及温岭</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">市区公共服务中心对周边镇区的吸引强</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">度。研究表明，温岭市西部城镇密集区内</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">的各个区域虽然在空间上有一定的距离，</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">但功能上仍有服务、互补的关系；温岭市</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">区与3 个镇在同城化发展条件上处于临</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">界点；温岭市区公共服务中心已经具备同</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">城化的基础条件。虽然温岭市区与3 个</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">镇的同城化趋势已经十分明显，但若无横</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">峰街道在中间过渡、衔接，同城化效应将</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">大打折扣，横峰街道也因此成为“金十字”</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">空间体系中的重要节点，应在未来的城市</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">规划编制中得到足够的重视。</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="width: 100%; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box;"><img id="ledtxt.com" style="max-width: 100%; width: 50%; box-sizing: border-box; vertical-align: middle;" class="" src="http://img02.store.sogou.com/net/a/05/link?appid=100520091&url=http://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz/lPxTSQHibyrTERfk9uupUiatYtqkkH32OFzX55TL6qBPGYR6AnIh8OxChQibyjmnC0RvLPJA4KQcdvsVicl7j0icNzQ/0?wx_fmt=png" data-ratio="0.16906474820143885" data-w="278"  /> </section><section class="" style="padding: 0.3em 0.5em; border-radius: 0.5em 0.5em 0px 0px; margin-top: -0.8em; text-align: center; width: 100%; color: white; box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(241, 97, 7);"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"  /></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;">基于大数据的量化分析法与传统方法是否可融合，深化研究？</section></section><section class="" style="border: 1px solid rgb(241, 97, 7); border-radius: 0px 0px 0.5em 0.5em; padding: 10px; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(39, 8, 8); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="text-indent: 2em; box-sizing: border-box;">城市规划的基础研究与定性判断为<span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">数据的筛选提供了准则，便于寻找需要</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">重点研究和分析的区域，为量化分析创</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">造了条件；基于大数据的量化分析为城</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">市规划的趋势判断提供了依据，提高了</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">后续城市规划的指导性和针对性。这种</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">通过移动通信数据对同城化进行量化分</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">析的方法是传统城市空间结构联系分析</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">方法的技术补充，对比传统数据采集模</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">式，具有成本低、数据量大、覆盖范围</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">广和适时动态更新的优点，但缺少对具</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">体的个人社会属性的考虑。因此，在未来，</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">如果能将这种方法与传统的数据调查方</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">式相结合，将能更好地深化同城化的量</span><span style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">化研究。</span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style=" margin: 0.5em 0px 1.8em;  box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="border-top-width: 2px; border-top-style: solid; border-top-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-bottom-width: 2px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="display: inline-block; width: 100%; vertical-align: top; box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="Powered-by-XIUMI V5" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><section class="" style="   box-sizing: border-box; "><section class="" style="color: rgb(47, 144, 224); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">文章详见</strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">《规划师》</strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">2016年2期《大数据背景下同城化量化分析方法及温岭市实践</strong><strong style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline !important; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">》</strong></section></strong></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline !important; box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="line-height: 1.6; box-sizing: border-box;">全文详见官网：www.planners.com.cn,<span style="color: rgb(241, 97, 7); box-sizing: border-box;">会员可免费下载哦</span></strong></section></strong></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="float: left; margin-top: -13px; margin-bottom: -13px; margin-left: 15%; box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 27px; height: 27px; margin-left: 15%; box-sizing: border-box;"><section style=" transform: rotate(45deg); -webkit-transform: rotate(45deg); -moz-transform: rotate(45deg); -o-transform: rotate(45deg); box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 27px; height: 27px; border-right-width: 2px; border-right-style: solid; border-right-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); border-bottom-width: 2px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(241, 97, 7); box-sizing: border-box; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255) !important;"><section style="width: 22px; 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